Ottawa Senators — Stats, Schedule & Insights

Team Snapshot

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Key Insight

Ottawa sits 9th overall with a +32 goal differential anchored by elite goaltending (.932 Sv%, 2.03 GAA) and a top-8 power play (23.9%), but their playoff position is now in jeopardy after a catastrophic 1–4 collapse in the last five games where they've averaged just 1.6 goals per game. The season-defining failure is a 28th-ranked penalty kill (75.7%) that has surrendered 57 goals against, costing points in tight games and exposing the team's inability to protect leads despite otherwise strong defensive metrics.

Strengths

Elite goaltending from Ullmark (.932 Sv%, 2.03 GAA) has kept Ottawa in playoff position and masked special teams deficiencies—without his performance, the 28th-ranked penalty kill would have been season-ending

Top-8 power play (23.9%, 63 goals) has been a consistent point generator and provides a critical margin in tight games, particularly important given their recent offensive struggles

Balanced home/road split (23–12–6 home, 21–15–5 road) demonstrates structural consistency and ability to earn points in all environments, crucial for maintaining playoff position

+32 goal differential over 82 games reflects underlying quality that exceeds their 9th-place standing—they've been competitive in most games and haven't relied on unsustainable luck

Risks

28th-ranked penalty kill (75.7%, 57 goals against) is the single biggest drag on results—this weakness has cost points in close games all season and becomes elimination-level in playoff hockey where special teams decide outcomes

1–4 record in last five games with 1.6 goals scored per game represents a -3 scoring trend and 53% drop from season average—if this offensive collapse extends into the final stretch, Ottawa will miss the playoffs despite strong underlying metrics

Scoring only 1.6 goals per game over the last five while conceding 2.4 creates a -0.8 goal differential that projects to missing the playoffs if sustained—the offensive breakdown is now the immediate threat to their season

Recent form (1–4) has erased their margin for error with Carolina next on the schedule—every remaining game is now elimination-level, and the team must reverse both offensive and defensive deterioration simultaneously to secure their playoff position

Last 5 Record

1W–4L

Avg Scored (L5)

1.6↓3.0 vs prev 5

Avg Conceded (L5)

2.4

The last five games reveal a team in freefall: 1.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game, resulting in a 1–4 record that has evaporated their cushion. This represents a complete offensive breakdown—scoring has dropped 53% below their season average—while defensive play has also deteriorated despite Ullmark's continued excellence. If this trend continues through the final stretch, Ottawa will miss the playoffs despite their strong season-long metrics.

Core Analytics

Core Performance

Offence

Ottawa ranks 9th in goals per game (3.39) with balanced period-by-period production: 78 first-period goals, 95 in the second, and 99 in the third, indicating they can score at any stage. Their 8th-ranked power play (23.9%, 63 goals on 263 opportunities) has been a critical point generator throughout the season. However, the recent offensive collapse to 1.6 goals per game over the last five games represents a -3 scoring trend that threatens to derail their playoff push.

3.39Avg 3.08

8th in NHL

Defence

The Senators rank 11th in goals against per game (3.00) with consistent period distribution: 73 allowed in the first, 80 in the second, and 82 in the third, showing no structural vulnerability to period-specific collapses. Their 5v5 defensive structure has held throughout the season, keeping them competitive in most games. The 28th-ranked penalty kill (75.7%, 57 goals against on 235 opportunities) is the glaring exception—this weakness has directly cost them points in close games and undermines otherwise solid defensive play.

3.00Avg 3.08

12th in NHL

Special Teams

Top Players

Drake Batherson

Right Wing · #

PTS

Dylan Cozens

Center · #

PTS

Goals Scored — Last 10 Games

Scoring has dropped noticeably over the last 5 games — a 3.0 goal/game decline vs the previous 5 aligns with the recent dip in results.

Goals For

Goals Against

2–4

CAR

Apr 25

1–2

CAR

Apr 23

2–3

CAR

Apr 20

Pattern: 1W–4L in the last 5 games is a concerning run. Results suggest the team is struggling to impose their gameplan consistently.