Ellis's 3.70-goal margin below average and CBJ's 16 giveaways handed Buffalo a third period they turned into a rout.
Buffalo's 5-0 demolition of Columbus was built on goaltending margin and a third-period structural collapse that stripped CBJ of any comeback path. This was a 1st Atlantic vs. 5th Metro matchup that played exactly like the standings said it should.
β‘TURNING POINT
Dahlin's goal at 16:55 of the third extended the lead to five with under four minutes remaining, mathematically sealing a game that had already been decided on the ice. It confirmed that CBJ's 37-shot effort had produced nothing β the volume was real, the danger was not.
πWHY BUF WON
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Ellis conceded 3.70 goals fewer than league average on 37 shots β in a five-goal game, that margin was the foundation everything else was built on.
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Buffalo's third period was a controlled execution: four even-strength goals in under ten minutes exposed CBJ's defensive structure breaking down under sustained pressure.
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Six different skaters found the scoresheet across five goals, distributing offensive production in a way CBJ could not key on or contain.
πWHY CBJ LOST
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Greaves conceded 1.70 goals above average on 23 shots β in a shutout loss, that margin compounded every defensive breakdown.
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CBJ's 16 giveaways against a structured Buffalo team created the turnovers that fueled the third-period avalanche.
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Going 0-for-4 on the power play eliminated the only mechanism capable of generating a lead-change in a scoreless game.
Three Stars
Colten Ellis1st
BUF, G
SV% 1.00037 saves
His performance produced a 3.70-goal margin below average β the shutout held the game's structure intact through CBJ's 37-shot attack.
Josh Doan2nd
BUF, R
2G2 points+34 shots on goal
Both goals came in the third period, directly accelerating the decisive run that closed the game.
Peyton Krebs3rd
BUF, C
1G4 hits+1
His first-period goal established the lead Buffalo never relinquished and set the game's entire defensive dynamic.
